Arming Without Aiming : India`s Military Modernization

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India’s growing affluence has led experts to predict a major rearmament effort. The second-most populous nation in the world is beginning to wield the economic power expected of such a behemoth. Its border with Pakistan is a tinderbox, the subcontinent remains vulnerable to religious extremism, and a military rivalry between India and China could erupt in the future. India has long had the motivation for modernizing its military— it now has the resources as well. What should we expect to see in the future, and what will be the likely ramifications? In Arming without Aiming, Stephen P. Cohen and Sunil Dasgupta answer those crucial questions. Against this backdrop of new affluence and newfound access to foreign military technology, Cohen and Dasgupta investigate India’s military modernization to find haphazard military change that lacks political direction, suffers from balkanization of military organization and doctrine, remains limited by narrow prospective planning, and is driven by the pursuit of technology free from military—strategic objectives. The authors argue that the character of military change in India, especially the dysfunction in the political–military establishment with regard to procurement, is ultimately the result of a historical doctrine of strategic restraint in place since the prime ministership of Jawarharlal Nehru. In that context, New Delhi’s approach of arming without strategic purpose remains viable as India seeks great-power accommodation of its rise and does not want to look threatening. The danger lies in its modernization efforts precipitating a period of strategic assertion or contributing to misperception of India’s intentions by Pakistan and China, its two most immediate rivals.

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Stephen P. Cohen is a senior fellow in Foreign Policy Studies at the Brookings Institution. He is the author of numerous books, including The Idea of Pakistan and India: Emerging Power (both with Brookings). Sunil Dasgupta is director of the University of Maryland, Baltimore County’s Political Science programme at The Universities at Shady Grove, and also a non-resident fellow in Foreign Policy Studies at Brookings. He also spent five years as senior correspondent for India Today.